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Late spring level out for lifestyle market

20 December 2022

Data released today by the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) shows there were 24 fewer (-1.9%) lifestyle property sales for the three months ended November 2022 than for the three months ended October 2022. Overall, there were 1,273 lifestyle property sales in the three months ended November 2022, compared to 2,028 lifestyle property sales for the three months ended November 2021 (-37.2%), and 1,297 lifestyle property sales for the three months ended October 2022.

7,113 lifestyle properties were sold in the year to November 2022, 3,003 less (-29.7%) than were sold in the year to November 2021. The value of lifestyle properties sold was $8.80 billion for the year to November 2022.

The median price for all lifestyle properties sold in the three months to November 2022 was $1,050,000 — $50,000 more (+5.0%) than the three months ended November 2021. The median price for bareland lifestyle properties sold in the three months to November 2022 was $470,000 — $15,000 less (-3.1%) than the three months ended November 2021. The median price for farmlet lifestyle properties sold in the three months to November 2022 was $1,200,000 and was $50,000 less (-4.0%) than the three months ended November 2021.

Brian Peacocke, Rural Spokesman at REINZ, says: “Sales volumes for the three-month period ending 30 November 2022 indicate a levelling out from the plunge in sales volumes from the heady days of two years ago as noted below:

  • 3,076 sales for three-month period ending November 2020

  • 2,028 sales for three-month period ending November 2021

  • 1,273 sales for three-month period ending November 2022 — a drop of just under 60% over a two-year period.

“Given the relatively close relationship between the lifestyle market and the residential market, it is not surprising that lifestyle sales volumes have softened in tandem with the residential market, as the same pressures apply to both markets.

“The dominant issues are increasing interest rates and stricter criteria being applied by most trading banks.

“Potential borrowers must make a careful assessment of their levels of equity and income, and a determination of how much income is available for debt servicing.

“As interest rates increase the affordability bar adjust. Under such circumstances, it is inevitable the market will falter, which is what is happening now.

“Nevertheless, despite such issues, qualified purchasers are still operating in the marketplace, and quality properties in good locations continue to sell to discerning purchasers — the key issue as always is the price.

Brief summary of movement in the marketplace during the month of November is outlined below:

Northland: sales increased 11.0%; median price increased 11.0 %

Auckland: sales increased 22.8%; median price increased 7.3 %

Waikato: sales decreased 7.0%; median price increased 13.5 %

Bay of Plenty: sales decreased 19.4%; median price increased 4.6 %

Gisborne/Hawke’s Bay: sales increased 17.4%; median price increased 13.5 %

Taranaki: sales maintained at par; median price decreased 13.7 %

Manawatu/Whanganui: sales increased 15.8%; median price increased 30.0 %

Wairarapa/Wellington: sales increased 20.0%; median price increased 5.6%

Nelson/Marlborough: sales minor decrease; median price maintained at par

Canterbury: sales increased 23.5%; median price increased 3.6%

Otago: sales decreased 30.0%; median price maintained at par

Southland: sales maintained at par; median price decreased 25.6%

No regions recorded an increase in sales compared to November 2021, with Taranaki (-6 sales) and Southland (-15 sales) observing the smallest decreases. Canterbury (-150 sales) and Auckland and Waikato (-107 sales) recorded the greatest decreases in sales in the three months to November 2022 compared to the three months to November 2021.

Compared to the three months to October 2022, four regions recorded an increase in sales.

Nine regions saw the median price of lifestyle blocks increase between the three months ending November 2021 and the three months ending November 2022. The most notable examples were in West Coast (+67.3%) and Manawatu/Whanganui (+16.7%) with the greatest decreases in Auckland (-18.9%) and Wellington (-13.7%).

The median number of days to sell for lifestyle properties was eight days more in the three months to November 2022 than in the three months to November 2021, sitting at 53 days. Southland (35 days) recorded the shortest number of days to sell in November 2022. Northland (69 days) recorded the longest number of days to sell.

Real Estate Institute of New Zealand

For more real estate information and market trends data, visit www.reinz.co.nz. For New Zealand's most comprehensive range of listings for residential, lifestyle, rural, commercial, investment and rental properties, visit www.realestate.co.nz - REINZ's official property directory website.

Notes to Editors:

The information provided by REINZ in relation to the lifestyle real estate market covers the most recently completed three-month period; thus, references to September 2021 refer to the period from 1 July 2021 to 30 September 2021.

The REINZ Farm Price Indices have been developed in conjunction with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. It adjusts sale prices for property specific factors such as location, size and farm type which can affect the median $/hectare calculations and provides a more accurate measure of farm price movements. The REINZ Farm Price Indices has been calculated with a base of 1,000 for the three months ended March 1996. The REINZ Farm Price Indices is best utilised in assessing percentage changes over various time periods rather than trying to apply changes in the REINZ Farm Price Index to specific property transactions.

From March 2021 there has been a change in the methodology for calculating rural statistics. To date, the rural statistics have referred to a Return Period which is the month in which a sale record was submitted to REINZ. Going forward, the rural statistics will refer to an Unconditional Month i.e., the month in which the sale went unconditional. This change in methodology ensures that sales that took place in April, for instance, are recorded against April even if they were submitted to REINZ late. The change also brings Rural statistics calculation into line with the Residential statistics calculation, where the Unconditional Month approach has been used successfully to calculate Residential Statistics for several years now. The Unconditional Month methodology also ensures that the most up-to-date state of the REINZ database is reported at the time the data is released with revision of prior months statistics often occurring to reflect the submission of late data or sale amendments that took place after the prior statistics release.

In addition to the calculation period change there are two additional changes to the data worth noting:

  • 12 Districts have been replaced by 13 Regions. These are consistent with the parts of the residential press release and it has been done to be consistent with regional definitions outside REINZ e.g., Statistics NZ
  • Dairy Support is a new farm category and we now have the ability to separate Lifestyle Blocks into Bareland and Farmlets.

If you have any questions regarding this change in methodology, please email [email protected].